Clinical risk group
Clinical risk groups include , intermediate ( or ), and . These groups combine PSA, biopsy findings, and clinical stage to estimate how likely prostate cancer is to progress or return after treatment. They help guide decisions about surveillance, treatment, and staging tests. Risk group is not a survival percentage. Individual outcomes depend on the cancer’s features, treatment, and the patient’s age and overall health.
AUA/ASTRO clinical risk groups
| Group | AUA/ASTRO criteria |
|---|---|
| PSA <10 ng/mL AND Grade Group 1 AND clinical stage T1 to T2a. | |
Lower likelihood of progression; active surveillance is often preferred. | |
Grade Group 1 AND PSA 10 to <20 AND T1 to T2a AND <50% positive biopsy cores; OR Grade Group 1 AND PSA <10 AND T2b-c AND <50% positive biopsy cores; OR Grade Group 2 AND PSA <10 AND T1 to T2a AND <50% positive biopsy cores. | |
More favorable intermediate-risk disease; selected patients may consider surveillance as well as treatment. | |
| Grade Group 1 with PSA 10 to <20 AND T2b-c, OR Grade Group 2 with PSA 10 to <20 and/or T2b-c and/or ≥50% positive biopsy cores, OR Grade Group 3 with PSA <20. | |
Greater progression or recurrence risk; treatment is generally favored for patients likely to benefit. | |
| PSA ≥20 ng/mL OR Grade Group 4 to 5 OR clinical stage T3. | |
Higher progression or recurrence risk; staging and more intensive treatment planning are often needed. | |
Favorable versus unfavorable intermediate: one change at a time
| Gleason | PSA | Clinical stage | Biopsy involvement | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3+4 | 6 | T1c | 2/12 systematic cores positive | Favorable intermediate |
| 6 | T1c | 2/12 systematic cores positive | Unfavorable intermediate | |
| 3+4 | T1c | 2/12 systematic cores positive | Unfavorable intermediate | |
| 3+4 | 6 | T1c | systematic cores positive | Unfavorable intermediate |
Prostate Cancer Risk Assistant
Use PSA, biopsy findings, and clinical stage to identify the AUA/ASTRO risk group for newly diagnosed, clinically localized prostate cancer.
Inputs
Use the clinical T stage documented by the treating clinician. For this AUA risk classification, it is based on the digital rectal examination (DRE), not the amount of tumor visible on MRI.
Risk grouping uses PSA, biopsy findings, and clinical stage. MRI is not required to assign the group.
Previously entered lesion counts are saved. They are excluded while “No targeted biopsy performed” is selected; switch back to counts available to use them.
AUA/ASTRO counts multiple cores from the same targeted lesion as one core for percent positive cores.
Methodology and source notes
Test yourself
0/3 correct
1. Does PI-RADS 5 automatically mean high-risk cancer?
2. Are Gleason 3+4 and 4+3 equivalent?
3. Can the same Grade Group belong to different clinical risk groups?
Related article: MRI versus PSMA PET: how their roles differ
Sources
- AUA/ASTRO. Clinically Localized Prostate Cancer Guideline. 2022.
- Eastham JA, et al. Clinically Localized Prostate Cancer: AUA/ASTRO Guideline, Part I. J Urol. 2022.
- AUA/ASTRO. Clinically Localized Prostate Cancer Guideline Amendment. 2026.
- PubMed record: Clinically Localized Prostate Cancer: AUA/ASTRO Guideline Amendment (2026).
- American College of Radiology. Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS).