Practical reference

Favorable, Unfavorable, or High Risk?

How PSA, Grade Group, and clinical stage combine to define risk

Prostate cancer risk dial

Clinical risk group

Clinical risk groups include , intermediate ( or ), and . These groups combine PSA, biopsy findings, and clinical stage to estimate how likely prostate cancer is to progress or return after treatment. They help guide decisions about surveillance, treatment, and staging tests. Risk group is not a survival percentage. Individual outcomes depend on the cancer’s features, treatment, and the patient’s age and overall health.

AUA/ASTRO clinical risk groups

GroupAUA/ASTRO criteria
PSA <10 ng/mL AND Grade Group 1 AND clinical stage T1 to T2a.
Grade Group 1 AND PSA 10 to <20 AND T1 to T2a AND <50% positive biopsy cores;
OR Grade Group 1 AND PSA <10 AND T2b-c AND <50% positive biopsy cores;
OR Grade Group 2 AND PSA <10 AND T1 to T2a AND <50% positive biopsy cores.
Grade Group 1 with PSA 10 to <20 AND T2b-c, OR Grade Group 2 with PSA 10 to <20 and/or T2b-c and/or ≥50% positive biopsy cores, OR Grade Group 3 with PSA <20.
PSA ≥20 ng/mL OR Grade Group 4 to 5 OR clinical stage T3.

Favorable versus unfavorable intermediate: one change at a time

GleasonPSAClinical stageBiopsy involvementResult
3+46T1c2/12 systematic cores positiveFavorable intermediate
6T1c2/12 systematic cores positiveUnfavorable intermediate
3+4T1c2/12 systematic cores positiveUnfavorable intermediate
3+46T1c systematic cores positiveUnfavorable intermediate

Prostate Cancer Risk Assistant

Use PSA, biopsy findings, and clinical stage to identify the AUA/ASTRO risk group for newly diagnosed, clinically localized prostate cancer.

Inputs

Use the clinical T stage documented by the treating clinician. For this AUA risk classification, it is based on the digital rectal examination (DRE), not the amount of tumor visible on MRI.

Risk grouping uses PSA, biopsy findings, and clinical stage. MRI is not required to assign the group.

Systematic biopsy cores
Targeted biopsy counting

AUA/ASTRO counts multiple cores from the same targeted lesion as one core for percent positive cores.

Methodology and source notes
The Risk Assistant uses AUA/ASTRO Table 3 criteria from the 2022 clinically localized prostate cancer guideline. Percent positive biopsy cores is the number of cores containing cancer divided by total cores obtained; multiple targeted cores from the same lesion count as one positive or negative core. The 2026 amendment imaging summary used here states: do not routinely stage asymptomatic low- or favorable intermediate-risk patients for metastasis; stage unfavorable intermediate- and high-risk patients with PSMA PET or conventional cross-sectional imaging plus bone scan. The official 2026 amendment link is retained above; direct full-text access was restricted in this environment, so verify the exact amendment text directly for formal policy use. This tool does not generate imaging orders.

Test yourself

0/3 correct

1. Does PI-RADS 5 automatically mean high-risk cancer?

2. Are Gleason 3+4 and 4+3 equivalent?

3. Can the same Grade Group belong to different clinical risk groups?

Related article: MRI versus PSMA PET: how their roles differ

Sources

  1. AUA/ASTRO. Clinically Localized Prostate Cancer Guideline. 2022.
  2. Eastham JA, et al. Clinically Localized Prostate Cancer: AUA/ASTRO Guideline, Part I. J Urol. 2022.
  3. AUA/ASTRO. Clinically Localized Prostate Cancer Guideline Amendment. 2026.
  4. PubMed record: Clinically Localized Prostate Cancer: AUA/ASTRO Guideline Amendment (2026).
  5. American College of Radiology. Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS).
Medical education note: This article is intended for medical education and workflow support only. It should not replace local practice standards, institutional protocols, or formal society guidelines. The Risk Assistant is a teaching aid for a named localized-risk framework, not a patient-specific treatment recommendation.